by Steven Thomma
McClatchy Newspapers
Dec 09, 2009 | 320 views | 0

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WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party end the year far weaker than they started it, according to a McClatchy-Ipsos poll released Tuesday.
Obama has the lowest approval rating of his presidency — 49 percent — slipping below 50 percent in the poll for the first time and entering a danger zone for presidents heading into a midterm election year.
The sinking numbers extend to his party as well. The Democratic Party has lost double-digit ground to the Republican Party on every issue, including the economy, other domestic issues such as health care and foreign affairs.
On the economy, for example, it clings to a 1-point edge over the Republicans, down sharply from the 31-point advantage it enjoyed a year ago.
Underlying it all: a sour mood. The American people have the worst view of the country since Obama's election, with just 36 percent saying it's on the right track and 60 percent saying it's on the wrong track.
The numbers show how much Obama and the Democrats have lost since their triumphant victory a year ago, when they won the White House and added to their majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate. The figures also underscore the challenging environment they face as they head into 2010, when the House and a third of the Senate are up for election.
"The public is declaring the honeymoon over," said Michael Gross, the vice president of Ipsos Public Affairs, which conducted the polls.
The biggest drag is the economy, Gross said.
"To an extent, people were willing to give Obama the benefit of the doubt. But until there are some big gains in jobs or tangible benefits in people's lives, the president and the Democratic Party are going to bear the brunt of the public anxiety."
The survey found 49 percent approving of the way Obama is doing his job, dropping from 53 percent in October. It found 49 percent disapproving.
Dropping below 50 percent is a warning sign of political peril if not corrected.
Since 1962, presidents with approval ratings below 50 percent have lost an average of 41 seats in midterm House elections. That's precisely the number that would cost Democrats control of the House this time.
Obama still has the approval of 77 percent of Democrats, though that dropped below 80 percent for the first time. Republicans remained strongly negative, with just 16 percent approving and 81 percent disapproving.
His bigger challenge might be independents, with approval among the swing bloc dropping to 41 percent and disapproval leaping to 55 percent, a jump of 14 percentage points since October.