Stats: 233-of-369 (63.1 percent), 2,676 yards, 23 touchdowns, seven interceptions; Rushing: 274 carries, 1,881 yards, 22 touchdowns
His chances of winning are: almost zero. Despite his fantastic season (second in the country in rushing yards and total offense), any shot he might have had at winning it went down the drain when Northern Illinois fell to Bowling Green in the MAC Championship game.
TRE MASON, Auburn
Position: Running back
Stats: 283 carries (most in SEC), 1,621 rushing yards (most in SEC), 22 rushing touchdowns (single-season school record; most in SEC)
His chances of winning are: aren’t great. Even though Mason has been on a tear as of late, and has played his best in big moments — he averaged 161.7 yards per game against in seven contests against ranked opponents — his late arrival into the discussion will be too much to overcome.
JOHNNY MANZIEL, Texas A&M
Stats: 270-of-391 (69.1 percent), 3,732 yards, 33 touchdowns, 13 interceptions; Rushing: 133 carries, 686 yards, eight touchdowns
His chances of winning are: nowhere close to last season. Yes, he still had a great year by most people’s standards. But compared to last year, his overall numbers aren't as eye-catching, and this time around, there are candidates with far better resumes.
AJ MCCARRON, Alabama
Stats: 207-of-306 (67.6 percent), 2,676 yards; 26 touchdowns, five interceptions
His chances of winning are: hovering around nil. Had Alabama pulled out a win in the Iron Bowl, McCarron’s overall numbers in addition to his signature play — a school-record 99-yard touchdown pass to Amari Cooper against the Tigers — he would be near the top of the list. Once Chris Davis’ touchdown return lifted Auburn to a 34-28 victory, McCarron’s Heisman hopes were effectively over.
Position: Running back
Stats: 329 carries (most in Division I), 2,102 rushing yards (most in Division I), 17 touchdowns
His chances of winning are: less than 1 percent. While he leads the nation in rushing yards — becoming the first player to break the 2,000-yard barrier in five years — the Eagles’ weak schedule and mediocre 8-4 record offset his individual achievements.
Stats: 237-of-349 (67.9 percent), 3,820 yards, 38 touchdowns, 10 interceptions; Rushing: 77 carries, 193 yards, four touchdowns
His chances of winning are: excellent. In fact, he’s an overwhelming favorite. Some projections have his probability of capturing the bronze trophy at 98 percent — or better. Simply put, it will be a major shocker if anyone other than Winston glides to the stage to accept the Heisman Trophy.